Macro Trends

Gate Research Daily Report: On April 3, BTC consolidated above $66,000, ETH pulled back toward $2,050, and GT traded in a narrow range near $6.45. While the broader market remained weak, CTSI, BR, and SYN outperformed. Meanwhile, market attention focused on reports of Tether pursuing a $500 billion valuation, Telegram Wallet’s push into perpetual futures trading.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC surged to $69,305 over the past 24 hours before giving back gains and entering a weaker consolidation phase, while ETH continued to show stronger structure than BTC, rebounding to as high as $2,168 with upside momentum easing at elevated levels. The altcoin market remained structurally mixed, with about 51.02% of tokens posting gains, led by the DID and NFT trading sectors. Stablecoin market capitalization rose to $316.3 billion, up by $640 million over the past week, while Ethereum gas fees remained at low levels. The Drift Protocol exploit, confirmation of the BITA ticker, and approval for options on multi-crypto asset commodity trusts further increased market focus on security risks, yield-enhanced ETF products, and the institutionalization of crypto derivatives. In the coming seven days, HYPE, ENA, and OPN are set to unlock approximately $12.00 million, $19.16 million, and $5.52 million worth of tokens respectively, which may introduce short-term supply pressure.

Over the past week, markets were primarily driven by the escalation of the US Iran conflict. WTI crude rose nearly 17% and returned above the $100 level, pushing US Treasury yields higher, with the 10 year reaching 4.44%, while the US dollar strengthened. The crypto market declined by more than 6% overall, and the VIX climbed to 31. On the capital side, BTC and ETH ETFs recorded about $500 million in net outflows mid week, followed by a modest rebound.

Over the past week, global markets entered a risk-off phase, driven by hawkish Fed expectations and escalating geopolitical tensions. Climbing US Treasury yields weighed on risk asset valuations. Gold and silver, after strong rallies, each saw corrections of more than 10%. The crypto market weakened in parallel, with BTC dropping below $70,000. Meanwhile, crude oil held firm amid expectations of potential supply shocks, and energy factors continued to disrupt the inflation outlook. On the capital front, both BTC and ETH ETFs recorded net outflows, reflecting a slowdown in short-term capital inflows. Nevertheless, total AUM remained at elevated levels, as long-term allocation capital has not exited the market. On-chain, DEX liquidity became increasingly concentrated in leading and highly efficient protocols, with Meteora’s rapid ascent reshaping trading dynamics. Marginal growth in stablecoin supply stemmed from protocol-based assets, and DeFi credit demand shifted primarily back to stablecoin arbitrage and

Gate Research: On March 31, the crypto market continued its recovery driven rebound, with BTC returning to the 68,000 range and ETH showing relative strength, while the overall market remains in a range bound phase and a trend reversal has yet to be confirmed. Market sentiment remains in extreme fear, with capital flowing back into major assets, while altcoins continue to rotate structurally, led by mid cap tokens such as ABT, G, and GOAT. On the industry side, stablecoin payments are accelerating their integration into real world consumption scenarios, banks are advancing pilot programs for onchain FX and cross border settlement, and multi custody and risk management frameworks continue to strengthen. Onchain financial infrastructure is increasingly moving toward real world adoption.

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 30, the crypto market continued to trade in a range-bound consolidation, with BTC and ETH repeatedly fluctuating around key levels and no clear trend reversal. The Fear and Greed Index remains in extreme fear, and the market is still dominated by defensive positioning and short-term trading. On the market side, STIK, GF, and NKN ranked as the top three gainers among assets with market capitalizations above ten million dollars, with capital rotating structurally around sectors with clear narratives such as precious metals RWA and decentralized network infrastructure. At the industry level, Pharos and Circle are advancing the integration of USDC and CCTP into mainnet, pushing stablecoin settlement capabilities into the core design of public chains. Sui continues to improve protocol-level usability and security, while the launch of the TxFlow mainnet strengthens the trend toward integrated on-chain financial execution.

Gate Research Daily Report: BTC is showing a pattern of “attempted recovery within a weak consolidation, with momentum yet to stabilize.” ETH remains in a “weak recovery without a confirmed reversal,” with further upside requiring volume expansion. NKN, XNY, and POOL surged sharply against the broader weak market, mainly driven by catalysts such as mainnet upgrades, strengthened AI narratives, and optimized protocol incentives. The White House has approved a review of a proposal to include crypto in 401(k) retirement plans; meanwhile, the largest options expiry of Q1 2026 takes place today, with nearly 40% of contracts set to expire. Institutional investors sold $11 billion in U.S. equities last week, marking the largest weekly sell-off in the past five weeks.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC and ETH remained in high-level consolidation, while stablecoin market capitalization stood at $311.00 billion and Ethereum gas fees stayed at low levels. PRL, DAO, and L3 led gains, as X’s payments push and AI Agent narratives continued to gain traction. In the next seven days, SUI, GUN, JUP, and EIGEN will unlock tokens worth about $41.59 million, $9.59 million, $8.28 million, and $7.33 million, respectively.

The article clarifies the transition of funds from gold to crude oil, examines how liquidity crises and renewed tightening expectations from the Federal Reserve are weighing on gold prices, and provides practical guidance for prioritizing energy assets over gold in prolonged market scenarios.

BTC traded within the $68,916.4–$71,401.7 range over the past 24 hours, while ETH moved upward within the $2,103–$2,175 range. POOL, ETN, and XNY rose 44%, 30%, and 21% respectively, driven by protocol updates, expanding use cases, and market narratives. Solana Foundation launched the AI-era developer platform SDP; Tether has engaged a Big Four firm for its first full audit; and Commodity Futures Trading Commission established an innovation task force to create clearer regulatory frameworks for the U.S. derivatives market.

The sharp correction in gold prices results from the interplay of a stronger US dollar, changing interest rate expectations, and leveraged liquidations. This article offers an in-depth examination of the factors driving the recent slump in gold, shifts in capital structure, and projections for future market movements.

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 24, the crypto market as a whole entered a corrective rebound phase. BTC and ETH strengthened in tandem, but the Fear and Greed Index remained in the Extreme Fear zone. The current recovery is still primarily capital-driven, and market sentiment has not fully warmed up. On the market board, ANON, CSPR, and LIGHT ranked as the top three gainers among assets with a market cap exceeding 10 million USD, corresponding respectively to the three niche sectors of AI DeFi assistants, enterprise-grade public chains, and Bitcoin infrastructure. Incremental funds are conducting structural rotations around high-recognition themes. At the industry level, the partnership between Deloitte Canada and Stablecorp, Nasdaq’s tokenized collateral integration with Talos, and the on-chain risk control collaboration between Bluprynt and Kroll show that institutional-grade infrastructure such as stablecoins, collateral management, and compliance trust layers continues to advance steadily.

In February 2026, the on-chain ecosystem exhibited more pronounced structural divergence amid price pressure. On-chain activity did not contract in tandem, but instead became further concentrated on high-frequency and high-efficiency networks. Solana maintained its dominance in high-frequency activity, while Base and Polygon continued to expand. Arbitrum saw a recovery in activity, but its capital retention and value capture weakened. Ethereum shifted from net outflows to significant net inflows, reinforcing its role as the primary settlement layer and a key hub for macro asset deployment. On the BTC side, the price pullback pushed short-term holders broadly into unrealized losses, with profit-taking cooling and sell pressure still concentrated among short-term positions, while the long-term holder structure remained intact. At the sector level, AI Agent, supply-side shocks, and institutional DeFi narratives coexisted. Short-term returns were driven by structural catalysts, while mid-term allocation continued

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 23, the rebound in BTC and ETH failed to sustain upward momentum, with capital returning to defensive positioning and overall risk appetite remaining subdued. Altcoins did not see broad-based expansion, and market opportunities were mainly concentrated in short-term rotation across high-volatility sectors. SIREN, BR, and BANANAS31 respectively represent active capital flows in the AI Agent, BTCFi, and BNB Chain meme segments. At the industry level, tokenized gold is progressing toward a standardized infrastructure phase, while connections between payment networks and capital market infrastructure continue to deepen. Meanwhile, competition in the stablecoin space is gradually shifting from issuance to treasury and capital management capabilities.

In February, the overall crypto market showed a weak trend, with notable outflows from BTC ETFs. Major blockchains remained stable throughout the month, with Solana leading by a wide margin at over 100 million daily transactions. Ethereum recorded 13.34 million unique active addresses, maintaining its second-highest level in history. TradFi trading volume on Perp DEXs surged to $47.3 billion, largely driven by Hyperliquid’s HIP-3. The Web3 sector completed 46 funding rounds totaling $986 million, with the top 10 projects accounting for $793 million—three major deals were led by Tether. Meanwhile, Web3 security incidents declined significantly month-over-month, though smart contract vulnerabilities remained the primary risk source.